Update on the Ongoing Severe Weather Threat, Tomorrow’s Severe Weather Threat

A line of severe storms developed and moved across Northern Alabama and Mississippi today as expected. Individual discrete severe storms also developed across Southern and Central Louisiana this morning through this evening.

Tonight

Squall line: The squall line is currently progressing quickly east across Northern Alabama, where a severe thunderstorm watch is in effect through 9:00PM CST. It will weaken as it progresses east across Northern Alabama through tonight, eventually pushing out of Alabama into Georgia early tomorrow morning.

Radar and severe weather watches as of 7:46pm CST
Radar and severe weather watches as of 7:46pm CST

 

All modes of severe weather will be possible with this squall line, especially damaging winds.

Discrete storms: Meanwhile, discrete severe thunderstorms, continue to develop and move off to the northeast in extreme Southeast Louisiana and Southern Mississippi , where a tornado watch is in effect through 9:00PM CST.

Additional storms will continue to develop and move off to the northeast and east-northeast throughout the evening across Southeast Louisiana, Mississippi.

All modes of severe weather will be possible with these storms, including tornadoes.

 

Tomorrow morning

Then, late tonight, a line segment or cluster of storms will develop across southeast Louisiana Southwest Mississippi. It will then progress east, across Southeast Louisiana Western Florida Panhandle late tonight into early tomorrow morning, before dissipating late tomorrow morning.

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The overall severe weather threat with this line of storms will be low. But damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will reamin possible.

 

Tomorrow afternoon/night and Wednesday morning

Then, late tomorrow discrete storms will develop across East Louisiana, and much West Mississippi. The discrete storms should then eventually evolve into a line segment, and progress East throughout overnight tomorrow and into Wednesday morning.

Storm Prediction Center's convective outlook for tomorrow
Storm Prediction Center’s convective outlook for tomorrow

 

Convective available potential energy (CAPE), shear, and dew points 60s and lows 70s will support the potential for severe weather again tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday morning, with all modes of severe weather being possible.

 

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Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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