Storm System will Bring Heavy Rainfall, Potential for Severe Weather this Weekend, Early Next Week

A storm system is expected to bring heavy rainfall, the potential for flash flooding, and the potential for severe weather back to the Gulf Coast Region this weekend and early next week.

A surface low is expected to develop over Northern Mexico tomorrow, and push into Southern Texas on Saturday. From there the low will track off to the northeast, across the Mississippi River Valley, from Sunday night through early Tuesday.

Severe weather potential: Strong to severe storms will likely be an issue once again across the Western and Central Gulf Coast this weekend and early next week, along and south of a warm front associated with the surface low.

Storm Prediction Center convective outlook for tomorrow
Storm Prediction Center convective outlook for tomorrow

 

There is a “marginal” risk for severe storms across Southern Texas tomorrow and Saturday. And it looks like there will be a more substantial threat for severe weather across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle Monday into Tuesday morning.

It’s to early for specifics though.

 

Weather Prediction Center QPF forecast for the next 5 days
Weather Prediction Center QPF forecast for the next 5 days

 

Heavy rainfall: Heavy rainfall will also be likely across much of the Western and Central Gulf Coast over the next 5 days in addition to the severe weather threat. And flash flooding will be a concern, particularly across Southeast Texas and Western Louisiana, where the heaviest rainfall totals appear most likely to occur at this time.

 

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Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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