There have been over one hundred severe weather reports across East Texas, much of Louisiana, and parts of Mississippi over the course of the day today, with five reported tornadoes touching down from Texas into Louisiana.
The threat is not over either.
Tonight
Severe weather will continue to be likely tonight, as this outbreak of severe weather continues.
Watches: Tornado watches (including a particularly dangerous situation “PDS” tornado watch) are in effect across much of Louisiana and Mississippi.
Placement: The greatest risk for severe weather tonight will be in the extreme category 5 (“high”) risk area, the category 4 (“moderate”) risk area, and the category 3 (“enhanced”) risk area.
There will also be a threat for severe weather in the category 2 (“slight”) and category 1 (“marginal”) risk areas, but not as significant as in the other threat areas.
Timing: The squall line that was forecast to develop has done so, with some discrete cells out ahead of it. It is currently stretched from Southwest Louisiana Northeast into Northern Mississippi. It, along with the cells in advance of it, will push across the remainder of Louisiana and into South/Central Mississippi overnight tonight and early tomorrow morning.
Threats: Strong, violent tornadoes (EF-2 – EF-5) are likely, along with large hail and extreme, damaging winds in excess of 70mph. Heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding is also likely.
Tomorrow
The threat will shift to Southeast Louisiana, East Mississippi, much of Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle tomorrow, as the squall line continues to march east.
Placement: The greatest risk for severe weather tomorrow will be in the category 4 (“moderate”) risk area, and the category 3 (“enhanced”) risk area.
However, There will also be a threat for severe weather in the category 2 (“slight”) and category 1 (“marginal”) risk areas.
Timing: The squall line will push across Southeast Louisiana, East Mississippi, and West Alabama early tomorrow morning. It will then push across the Florida Panhandle and the remainder of Alabama late tomorrow morning and into tomorrow afternoon.
Threats: The main mode of severe weather tomorrow will be damaging winds. However, tornadoes will also be possible, including some strong (EF2 – EF-3) ones, in the category 4 (“moderate”) risk area. Hail, heavy rainfall, and localized flash flooding will also be threats.
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