Update | Severe Weather Threat Tonight, Tomorrow

Severe storms have fired up across parts of East Texas and West Louisiana, with more expected tonight into tomorrow as the threat for severe weather pushes east.

Tornadoes in Texas 

Storms have already spawned multiple tornadoes earlier this evening, with one causing significant damage in a city just east of Dallas, Texas

For more information read this article from The Weather Channel.

Severe Threat Tonight

The threat for severe weather will persist, and expand, into the overnight hours tonight.

Latest Watches: A tornado watch (in effect until 10pm CDT), as well as a severe thunder storm watch (in effect until 11pm CDT), are in effect for parts of East Texas.

For more details on these watches go to the Storm Prediction Center’s website.

Placement: The greatest threat for severe weather tonight will continue to be across East Texas and West Louisiana, in the category 3 (“enhanced”) risk area.

Convective outlook for now through the overnight hours.

However, there also be a threat for severe weather in the category 2 (“slight”) risk and category 1 (“marginal”) risk areas.

Timing: Additional storms are expected to develop across East Texas and West Louisiana within the next 1 – 3 hours, eventually merging into a squall line shortly after midnight, which will push across Louisiana and into extreme Western Mississippi during the early morning hours.

HRRR simulated radar valid at 2am CDT tonight.

Threats: All modes of severe weather (damaging winds, tornadoes, and large hail will be threats.

Severe Threat Tomorrow

The severe weather threat will continue tomorrow, across Eastern Mississippi, much of Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.

Placement:  The highest threat for severe weather will be across East Louisiana, much of Mississippi, and West Alabama, in the category 2 (“slight”) risk area.

Convective outlook for tomorrow.

However, there will also be a lower risk for sever weather in the category 1 (“marginal”) risk area.

Timing: Storms will push across Western portions of the threat area during the morning and afternoon hours, and during the evening and overnight hours for Eastern portions of the threat area (possibly into Monday morning for the Florida Panhandle and East Alabama).

Threats: All modes of severe weather will be possible, with damaging winds being the primary threat.

Heavy Rainfall

Heavy rainfall remains likely. However, nothing has really changed regarding our thinking on the heavy rainfall situation. For details on it see our previous update.

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Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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