Unsettled Weather Through Mid-week Next Week

Heavy rainfall is likely across much the region now through Tuesday/Wednesday ahead of a cool front; along with some strong to severe storms.

Heavy Rainfall

Heavy rainfall is going to be the primary concern now through Wednesday, with several rounds of rain/storms likely across Southern Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, South/Central Alabama, and much of the Florida Panhandle.

Widespread rainfall accumulations between 2 – 5 inches are expected, with higher accumulations likely in Southwest Alabama and the Western Florida Panhandle.

Flash flooding will also be somewhat of a concern.

Strong Storms

Convective outlook for this evening and tonight.

Through tonight: Some strong to severe storms will be possible across Southern Texas, and most of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Western Florida Panhandle this evening and overnight.

Convective outlook for tomorrow.

Through tomorrow: Another round of storms strong to severe storms will also be possible across many of the same areas tomorrow, and across much of Southern Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the extreme Western Florida Panhandle on Monday.

Severe Threat

Placement: The overall severe weather threat through Monday is relatively low, with the greatest potential for severe storms being in the category 2 (“slight”) risk areas.

Threats: While a brief, isolated tornado or two can’t be ruled out, the primary threats will be hail and damaging winds.

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Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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