There continues to be a threat for severe weather though tomorrow.
Tonight/tomorrow morning: A complex of strong to severe storms developed over East Texas this evening, and is currently moving through Southeast Texas. It will continue to track east, across the remainder of South/Central Louisiana and South/Central Mississippi overnight, but should gradually weaken .
Some additional storms could develop over South Alabama and the Florida Panhandle tomorrow morning.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for portions of Southeast Texas and Central/South Louisiana until 1:00 AM CDT.
Risk areas: The Storm Prediction Center re-positioned the “slight risk” area; it now encompasses from Southeast Texas into Southwest Alabama/the Western Florida Panhandle.
The “marginal risk” was also changed, and now includes North Louisiana Central Mississippi, part of Central Alabama, the remainder of the Florida Panhandle and South Alabama.
Potential threats: Damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and hail will be the primary hazards. However, there is an outside chance of a brief, isolated tornado or two.
Isolated to scattered coverage of severe storms is still expected (not overall coverage of storms, but coverage of *severe* storms)
Tomorrow afternoon/evening: The magnitude and placement of the greatest severe threat tomorrow has become more certain.
A lull will occur after the above mentioned complex dissipates overnight/early tomorrow morning. However, favorable CAPE, shear, lapse rates (and a few other parameters) will cause the severe weather threat to ramp up again tomorrow afternoon and evening as storms redevelop.
The exact extent of the coverage of thunderstorms across Southeast Mississippi, Southwest Alabama, and the Western Florida Panhandle is now uncertain because a CAP is expected to be in place.
The greatest threat for severe weather will be well north of the Gulf Coast Region, across North/Central Alabama, where the Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the “slight risk” to an “enhanced risk” for severe weather. Otherwise, the “slight” and “marginal” risk areas remain generally unchanged.
Numerous severe storms, including supercellls, will be possible in the “enhanced risk” area, with isolated to scattered severe storms in the “slight” and “marginal” risk areas.
Large, damaging hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes will all be possible, with a threat for a strong tornado or two in the “enhanced risk” area.
___
For future updates, follow us on twitter @GCSCWX
You can also follow us on Facebook
Also, if you live in the Florida Panhandle be sure to follow our Florida Panhandle page: Florida Panhandle Storm Center
___
For an official, accurate weather forecast specific to your local area go to weather.gov and enter your zip code.
