National Hurricane Center Monitoring Low Pressure in Northern Gulf

Figure 1. IR satellite image showing the low and associated convective (thunderstorm) activity.

The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring the area of low pressure that has been sitting along the Northern Gulf Coast since Saturday for tropical development. We mentioned this potential last Tuesday (link).

In their 2:00 PM CDT tropical weather outlook they put the odds of development at 10% over both the next 2 – 5 days.

Overall, environmental conditions appear generally conducive for tropical cyclone (TC) genesis. However, the low is expected to move inland over Southeast Louisiana by tomorrow, which is why the chance of development is low at 10%.

Fiure 2. Latest quantitative precipitation forecast. (QPF).

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely along and south of the I-10 corridor through Wednesday/Thursday (see figure 2)

Maps: [ Tropical Tidbits | Pivotal Weather ]

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For an official, accurate weather forecast specific to your local area go to weather.gov and enter your zip code or consult your local National Weather Service. 

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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