Another severe weather outbreak is looking possible early next week.
Monday into Tuesday, a negative tilt upper-level trough is going to develop over the Central part of the country. At the same time, a mid-latitude cyclone (area of low pressure) is going to deepen while moving into the Midwest and Great Lakes. The cyclone will bring a trailing cold front south through the Gulf Coast states.
The aforementioned front will advect moisture from the Gulf of Mexico north, destabilizing the atmosphere, which should trigger thunderstorm development along/ahead of the front. Strong winds aloft could then allow for storms to become strong to potentially severe.
The Storm Prediction Center has already defined a risk area for both Monday and Tuesday (see figures 1 and 2). However, details have yet to be ironed out. Although, as of now, all modes of severe weather (including tornadoes) appear to be on the table.
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