A severe weather event is going to unfold from Northeast Louisiana/Southeast Arkansas into North Mississippi, Northwest Alabama, and Tennessee tonight into tomorrow morning.
Unstable atmospheric conditions will cause discrete cells to initially develop across Northern Louisiana and Western Arkansas this evening ( around 4 – 6 PM). The cells that develop will then evolve into an east moving squall line during the overnight hours.
Very strong shear will result in a risk for tornadoes — including a few strong tornadoes. Damaging winds will also be a concern. There is some potential for hail, but it is relatively low.
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has defined an “enhanced” risk area (see figure 1); this is where the greatest severe threat exists.
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