Period of Unsettled Weather Likely Next Week

Figure 1. 6 - 10 day precipitation outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. (Pivotal Weather)
Figure 1. 6 – 10 day precipitation outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. (Pivotal Weather)

A trough is predicted to pivot into the Rockies early next week. Meanwhile, the ridge that has been in place across the Southeast is expected to strengthen. This should allow for a more amplified of the subtropical jet stream. It should also result in an active storm track in the South, and Gulf moisture getting funneled north.

Model guidance is already picking up on this. Both the GFS and ECMWF are projecting a low developing over the NW Gulf Tuesday/Wednesday, with a track off to the northeast.

This means that we likely have a period of unsettled weather next week (see figure 1).

Areas from mainly east Texas to the Florida Panhandle will likely have to deal with widespread (and potentially heavy) rain and some thunderstorm activity. Additionally, at least a few strong/severe storms could be possible depending on how instability sets up.

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Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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