Invest 91L now has no chance to develop into a tropical cyclone, having moved inland of northeast Mexico/south Texas.
While tropical development is no longer anticipated, heavy rain is still expected as 91L gets absorbed slow moving upper-level system, which will set the stage for a flood threat.
Today
The Weather Prediction Center is still forecasting up to 6″ of rain for southeast Texas, and now much of southwest Louisiana. It should be noted that locally higher amounts will be possible.
A high risk (level 4 out of 4) for flash flooding is in effect for parts of southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana – something to take very, very seriously.
Tomorrow into this weekend
The Weather Prediction Center is forecasting 4 – 6″ of rain for much of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle through Monday, with the highest totals focused along the coast. It should be note that locally higher amounts will be possible.
Tomorrow, the threat for heavy rain/flooding will continue for southeast Texas and Louisiana, but also expand into Mississippi.
A moderate risk (level 3 out of 4) for flash flooding is in effect for southeast Louisiana and southeast Mississippi.
Friday, the threat for heavy rain and flash flooding will shift into the Southeast Friday going into this weekend.
A moderate risk for flash flooding is in effect for southwest Alabama and the extreme western Florida Panhandle.
Early next week
Based on the latest model guidance, it seems the threat for heavy rain/flooding could persists for Alabama and the Florida Panhandle, and perhaps Mississippi, through Tuesday or Wednesday.
