Dorian is still pounding Grand Bahama and Abaco this evening.
As of the 10 PM EDT advisory, Dorian had maximum sustained winds of 185 mph, a minimum pressure of 915 millibars and was moving west at 5 mph.
Here is a brief forecast update:
*The latest forecast track still maintains a northward turn Tuesday, with a track parallel to Florida’s east coast.
*There has been a very slight west trend in model guidance today, and Dorian is now forecast to pass just 40 – 50 miles east of Florida.
*Only a slight shift west in the official forecast track for Dorian would result in a Florida landfall.
*Due to the aforementioned slight westward shift, hurricane-force winds are now expected for a portion of the east coast of Florida between Monday and Wednesday, which has prompted the issuance of a Hurricane Warning (see figure 1).
*Another change this evening is the threat to Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina later this week, which has further increased.
