Dorian Finally Moving Again; Now Lashing East-Central Coast of Florida

Figure 1. Radar image of Dorian from 7:04 PM CDT Tuesday, September 3, 2019.

Dorian is no longer stalled.

8 PM EDT advisory info

As of 7 PM EDT, Dorian had max sustained winds of 110 mph, a minimum central pressure of 959 millibars, and was moving northwest at 6 mph.

Lashing east coast of Florida now

This evening, outer rain bands are now lashing the east-central Florida coast, with tropical-storm-force wind gusts being reported (see figure 1).

Track

Dorian will continue to track northwest through tomorrow, and turn north-northwest to north tomorrow night/early Thursday (see figure 2).

Figure 2. Latest forecast track for Dorian from the National Hurricane Center.

Later Thursday into Friday, Dorian will hook northeast.

The center of Dorian is currently forecast to pass extremely close to South Carolina and North Carolina, and a landfall can’t be ruled out.

Intensity

Dorian is forecast to maintain intensity through tomorrow, but begin to weaken by Thursday due to an increase in wind shear.

However, it should be noted that Dorian might restrengthen a bit tomorrow, as the storm will be moving away from the cooler water that got up welled.

Impacts

Dangerous winds (up to hurricane-force), a life-threatening storm surge and heavy rain will occur along portions of the Florida east coast through tomorrow, coastal Georgia tomorrow night, and South Carolina and North Carolina Thursday/Friday.

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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