With Dorian now moving away from the U.S., it is time to shift our attention back to the far east Atlantic, where we now have Invest 94L.
Invest 94L has a high (70 percent) chance of becoming a tropical cyclone (TC) over the next 5 days while moving west to west-northwest per the latest Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center (see figure 1).
Model guidance has been oscillating between development and no development. As of the 00z model cycle, the GFS was the only model predicting development.
However, environmental conditions appear generally conducive for development, hence the high development chance from the National Hurricane Center.
If a TC does form, it is much too early to say if there would be any threat to the Caribbean or U.S. mainland.
