Karen still has not re-strengthened.
As of 5 AM EDT/AST, Karen had sustained winds of 40 mph, a minimum pressure of 1004 mb, and was moving north-northeast at 15 mph.
Forecast for Karen
Considering Karen has yet to re-strengthen, the forecast has become more certain.
While no longer forecast by the National Hurricane Center, some slight intensification remains a possibility through today. An increase in dry air Friday should halt any intensification, and cause Karen to weaken.
Late this weekend going into early next week, an increase in wind shear continues to be portrayed by model guidance; this, coupled with the aforementioned dry air, should cause Karen to dissipate/degenerate to a remnant low.
A turn to the west-southwest is still anticipated Saturday as a result of a building ridge (area of high pressure).
Karen should remain on a west-southwest course, and eventually move into the Bahamas and toward Florida by mid to late next week; however, as stated above, Karen should no longer be a tropical cyclone at this point (see figure 1).
