Tropical Update: Development Possible Between Bermuda and Azores Early Next Week

Figure 1. ECMWF predicted MSLP and normalized anomaly for Tuesday evening, October 8, 2019. Image: Tropical Tidbits

The broad area of low pressure that formed in the northwest Caribbean this week has moved into the southwest Gulf of Mexico, but is no longer being monitored for tropical development.

Wind shear is still too high for development, and will remain high for the foreseeable future.

Elsewhere, a non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form between Bermuda and the Azores early next week, and model guidance suggests it could acquire some (sub)tropical characteristics.

In their 8 AM EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, the National Hurricane Center put the chance of development at 40 percent over the next five days.

However, should a subtropical or tropical cyclone form, it won’t be of concern to the United States.

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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