Severe Weather Outbreak to Unfold Friday Into Saturday

A severe weather outbreak is going to unfold across the Ark-La-Tex/east Texas and Deep South tomorrow (Friday) into Saturday.

Thunderstorms, a few of which could be supercells, will initially develop across east Texas/western Louisiana tomorrow afternoon. Tomorrow afternoon/evening a cold front will drop into east Texas, and a well-defined QLCS (line of storms) should evolve along/ahead of it.

Figure 2. NAM simulated radar for 4 AM CST Saturday. Image: College of DuPage

The QLCS will move through east Texas tomorrow afternoon/evening, western Louisiana tomorrow night/early Saturday (see figure 2), east/southeast Louisiana and Mississippi Saturday morning, and Alabama and the Florida Panhandle Saturday afternoon/evening.

While it will be conditional, there will be a threat for supercells out ahead of the QLCS.

Potential for damaging wind gusts and embedded tornadoes will accompany the QLCS. As for any discrete storms/supercells, they will be capable of producing tornadoes, some potentially strong/intense, large hail, and damaging winds.

The Storm Prediction Center has defined a level 4 out of 5 (moderate) risk area (see figure 1) for tomorrow encompassing a portion of northeast Texas, northwest Louisiana, and southwest Arkansas.

Figure 3. Severe weather outlook for Saturday, January 11, 2020.

An expansive level 3 out of 5 (enhanced) risk area has also been outlined for both Friday and Saturday (see figure 1 and figure 3).

Here are a few ways to prepare:

HAVE A WAY TO GET WATCHES/WARNING INFO… If you are the risk zone for this event, it is imperative that you have a way to receive watches and warnings – rather it be TV, a NOAA weather radio, or app.

KNOW YOUR LOCATION… In order to make use of watch/warning info, you must know your county and be able to locate yourself on a map.

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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