A severe weather outbreak is going to unfold across the Ark-La-Tex/east Texas and Deep South tomorrow (Friday) into Saturday.
Thunderstorms, a few of which could be supercells, will initially develop across east Texas/western Louisiana tomorrow afternoon. Tomorrow afternoon/evening a cold front will drop into east Texas, and a well-defined QLCS (line of storms) should evolve along/ahead of it.
The QLCS will move through east Texas tomorrow afternoon/evening, western Louisiana tomorrow night/early Saturday (see figure 2), east/southeast Louisiana and Mississippi Saturday morning, and Alabama and the Florida Panhandle Saturday afternoon/evening.
While it will be conditional, there will be a threat for supercells out ahead of the QLCS.
Potential for damaging wind gusts and embedded tornadoes will accompany the QLCS. As for any discrete storms/supercells, they will be capable of producing tornadoes, some potentially strong/intense, large hail, and damaging winds.
The Storm Prediction Center has defined a level 4 out of 5 (moderate) risk area (see figure 1) for tomorrow encompassing a portion of northeast Texas, northwest Louisiana, and southwest Arkansas.
An expansive level 3 out of 5 (enhanced) risk area has also been outlined for both Friday and Saturday (see figure 1 and figure 3).
Here are a few ways to prepare:
HAVE A WAY TO GET WATCHES/WARNING INFO… If you are the risk zone for this event, it is imperative that you have a way to receive watches and warnings – rather it be TV, a NOAA weather radio, or app.
KNOW YOUR LOCATION…Â In order to make use of watch/warning info, you must know your county and be able to locate yourself on a map.