Severe storms have erupted erupted across east Texas and western Louisiana this afternoon as forecast.
As of this writing, a tornado watch is in effect for portions of east Texas and western Louisiana until 5 PM CDT this evening.
A level 3 (out of 5) risk for severe weather also remains in place.
Storms will shift east, eventually moving across the remainder of Louisiana (mainly north of I-10) and into Mississippi overnight/early tomorrow.
While these storms will be capable of producing all modes of severe weather, damaging winds should become the primary threat once a more linear storm mode is realized.
Tomorrow morning into the early afternoon, the squall line will move into Alabama and possibly the Florida Panhandle and north Florida. There continues to be a level 3 risk for severe weather.
As of now, the primary threat with the squall line will likely be damaging winds. However, an embedded tornado or two can’t be ruled out within the squall line. A tornado or two and large hail also can’t be ruled out with any discrete storms ahead of the line.
There is potential for a second round of severe weather across Alabama (mainly along and east of I-65) and the Florida Panhandle after passage of the squall line. However, this is uncertain. Just know the possibility is there.
Additional activity will also be likely across north Florida tomorrow night, with all modes of severe weather possible.
