There are currently two tropical storms in the Atlantic: Josephine and Kyle. Neither system is of concern for the U.S. (or any other landmasses for that matter). However, Kyle is the 11th named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season; this is concerning.
In an average season the 11th tropical storm (TS) doesn’t form in the Atlantic until November. With a well above average to hyperactive season forecast it was likely the ‘K’ storm would form before this date. But the fact that it is only mid August and there have been 11 tropical storms is disconcerting.
For perspective, Kyle is now the earliest ‘K’ storm on record in the Atlantic, surpassing Katrina (2005).
While Kyle and Josephine are not going to be an issue, their formation is strongly indicative that the predictions for an above average/hyperactive season are going to verify.
Here comes the Madden Julian Oscillation. It’s predicted to pass the Atlantic-Africa-Indian Ocean between Aug 15-Sept 19.
This is a window in time where I’m thinking the Atlantic Hurricane Season begins to rage. Get ready for round two, folks. pic.twitter.com/tjn0JWxJCB
— MJVentrice (@MJVentrice) August 11, 2020
Looking ahead, large-scale upward motion is expected to begin to overspread the Atlantic basin over the next 7 to 10 days. This should cause an uptick in activity, and could even result in a tropical cyclone outbreak.
Furthermore, indications are the Atlantic could remain very busy through at least much of next month, if not longer.
Considering this, it is advisable that you have a hurricane plan if you don’t already.
