Laura now a Category 3, Likely to Become a Category 4; Expected to Make Landfall Near TX/LA Border Tonight

Laura underwent rapid intensification overnight and is now a category 3 hurricane.

As of the 7 AM CDT advisory, maximum sustained winds were 115 mph. The pressure was down to 963 mb. Movement was northwest at 15 mph.

Forecast for Laura

Low to moderate wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures will allow Laura to continue to intensify – possibly up until landfall. However, an increase in wind shear near landfall could halt strengthening and/or induce slight weakening.

Latest forecast cone for Laura from the National Hurricane Center.

It is likely Laura will become a category 4 hurricane. Model guidance, including the ECMWF, GFS and UKMET, is in agreement on a landfall near the TX/LA border tonight/early tomorrow.

Laura will bring significant to potentially catastrophic impacts to southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana, including a life-threatening storm surge.

Latest surge forecast for Laura from the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane-force winds and heavy rain/flash flooding can also be expected.

Tropical storm force winds will likely arrive on the coast this evening, and preparations should be rushed to completion. If ordered to evacuate, now is the time to do so.

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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