A severe weather outbreak is going to unfold across the South and Southeast later today through tomorrow.
The Storm Prediction Center has defined a high (level 5 out of 5) risk for severe weather for northeast Louisiana, extreme southeast Arkansas, and parts of north and central Mississippi and Alabama. There is still a moderate (level 4 out of 5) risk of severe weather as well.
Two rounds of storms are expected. Isolated/discrete storm formation is expected across southeast Louisiana, east Mississippi, west Alabama, and possibly the western Florida Panhandle this afternoon.
Later this afternoon, a second round of storms, likely in the form of a line, will develop over Louisiana and sweep east across across Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle this evening into tonight.
Both rounds of storms will pose a threat for tornadoes, some of which could be strong/violent, damaging winds, and hail.
It should be noted that there will be potential for nocturnal, or nighttime, tornadoes. This makes an already dangerous situation that much more dangerous.
While the greatest risk for severe weather is in the high and moderate risk areas, it is important not to focus on the exact risk levels. If you are in any risk category (high, moderate, enhanced, slight, marginal) be sure to have a way to receive watches and warnings.
The threat will shift east, into north Florida, Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia tomorrow. The Storm Prediction Center has defined a moderate risk for severe weather for parts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina tomorrow.
