Unsettled Pattern This Week; Flash Flooding, Severe Weather Possible

Tomorrow will be the start of a period of unsettled weather for the central Gulf Coast. Storms are expected along/ahead of a slow moving cold front that will eventually become stationary.

A marginal (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather has been defined for southeast Louisiana and south Mississippi. Isolated tornados, localized damaging wind gusts, and instances of hail will be possible.

Severe weather outlook for tomorrow. (Image: NWS/SPC)

Storms will spread into Alabama and the Florida Panhandle by tomorrow afternoon/evening and into the overnight.

Tomorrow’s storms will be the first of several rounds of storms that are expected this week. A more substantial risk for severe weather could evolve Thursday.

The Storm Prediction Center has defined a 15 percent (slight risk) for severe weather for east Texas, Louisiana, southeast Arkansas, much of Mississippi and Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle in their day 4 outlook.

QPF through Saturday morning. (Image: Pivotal Weather)

While severe weather will be of concern, flash flooding could also be an issue across southeast Louisiana, south Mississippi, and southwest Alabama.

Rainfall amounts of 4 – 6″ are currently forecast between now and Saturday, with most of it expected over the next 2 – 3 days. Flash flood watches have been posted for parts of southeast Louisiana, south Mississippi, and southwest Alabama.

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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