Tomorrow will be the start of a period of unsettled weather for the central Gulf Coast. Storms are expected along/ahead of a slow moving cold front that will eventually become stationary.
A marginal (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather has been defined for southeast Louisiana and south Mississippi. Isolated tornados, localized damaging wind gusts, and instances of hail will be possible.
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Storms will spread into Alabama and the Florida Panhandle by tomorrow afternoon/evening and into the overnight.
Tomorrow’s storms will be the first of several rounds of storms that are expected this week. A more substantial risk for severe weather could evolve Thursday.
The Storm Prediction Center has defined a 15 percent (slight risk) for severe weather for east Texas, Louisiana, southeast Arkansas, much of Mississippi and Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle in their day 4 outlook.
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While severe weather will be of concern, flash flooding could also be an issue across southeast Louisiana, south Mississippi, and southwest Alabama.
Rainfall amounts of 4 – 6″ are currently forecast between now and Saturday, with most of it expected over the next 2 – 3 days. Flash flood watches have been posted for parts of southeast Louisiana, south Mississippi, and southwest Alabama.