Tomorrow will be the start of a period of unsettled weather for the central Gulf Coast. Storms are expected along/ahead of a slow moving cold front that will eventually become stationary.
A marginal (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather has been defined for southeast Louisiana and south Mississippi. Isolated tornados, localized damaging wind gusts, and instances of hail will be possible.
Storms will spread into Alabama and the Florida Panhandle by tomorrow afternoon/evening and into the overnight.
Tomorrow’s storms will be the first of several rounds of storms that are expected this week. A more substantial risk for severe weather could evolve Thursday.
The Storm Prediction Center has defined a 15 percent (slight risk) for severe weather for east Texas, Louisiana, southeast Arkansas, much of Mississippi and Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle in their day 4 outlook.
While severe weather will be of concern, flash flooding could also be an issue across southeast Louisiana, south Mississippi, and southwest Alabama.
Rainfall amounts of 4 – 6″ are currently forecast between now and Saturday, with most of it expected over the next 2 – 3 days. Flash flood watches have been posted for parts of southeast Louisiana, south Mississippi, and southwest Alabama.