Nice weather will persist today. High temperatures will range from the low to mid 80s. However, the nice weather experienced this weekend will come to an end tonight/early Monday.
A shortwave/impulse (disturbance) is expected to track across Alabama and Mississippi tonight/early tomorrow morning. This will likely trigger an area of showers/thunderstorms across Louisiana and Mississippi tonight.
These showers/storms will track east/southeast, likely reaching the area tomorrow.
There is some uncertainty regarding exact timing due to model discrepancy. The HRRR shows storms arriving by around 7 AM CDT, while the NAM doesn’t bring any activity into the area until around 2 – 3 PM CDT.
A few strong/severe storms will be possible. The Storm Prediction Prediction Center has included the entire area in a marginal (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather.
Strong/damaging winds and hail will be the primary threats with any strong/severe storms. Heavy rain will also be possible.
More storms will be possible Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center has once again included the area in a marginal risk for severe weather.
