Tropical Update – June 13, 2021

The disturbance in the Bay of Campeche was designated Invest 92L yesterday. All this means is that the National Hurricane Center wants to take a closer look at the system and get additional data on it.

The National Hurricane Center has increased Invest 92L’s chance of development to 50 percent within the next 5 days.

Other than that not much has changed. Any development of Invest 92L will be slow to occur. If a tropical cyclone does form, it likely won’t be until Thursday or Friday.

GFS Invest 92L showing Invest 92L lifting north out of the Bay of Campeche a week from now as a tropical storm. (Image: Tropical Tidbits)

It still looks like Invest 92L will eventually come north toward the western or central Gulf Coast late this week/weekend, potentially as a large/weak east weighted tropical depression or storm.

Regardless of development, heavy rain/flooding is looking increasingly possible somewhere along the northern Gulf Coast next week.

We should have more clarity in the next day or two.

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Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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