Tropical development is now likely in Gulf of Mexico sometime this week. Model guidance has come into better agreement on the idea of tropical cyclone formation in the southwest Gulf/Bay of Campeche between tomorrow and Saturday. The operational ECMWF, UKMET,…
Tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico is looking like a possibility next week. There has been a consistent signal from model guidance for tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico between June 2 and 8. The catalyst could…
Invest 91L quickly became better organized overnight and is now producing winds up to tropical storm force based on buoy and radar data. The center has also become better defined. Based on this, the National Hurricane Center has upgraded Invest…
An area of disturbed weather located over/near the east coast of Florida is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. This area has been tagged Invest 91L by the National Hurricane Center and has a low chance (20 percent)…
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has issued their outlook for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. Like Colorado State University, NOAA is predicting above-normal activity; specifically, 13 to 19 named storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes, with 3 to 6…
Invest 90L, located just east of Florida, has gained enough organization to be classified a tropical depression (Tropical Depression One). As of the 5 PM EDT advisory, maximum sustained winds were 35 mph with a minimum central pressure of 1008…
Tropical or subtropical development is likely this weekend in the vicinity of the Bahamas. An area of disturbed weather formed in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico yesterday. This area is now in the Straits of Florida, and will reach the…
Last week at this time it was thought that there was a slim chance of tropical or subtropical development in the Gulf of Mexico this past weekend. An area of disturbed weather did form, but failed to develop into a…
Invest 97L is continuing to get better organized. Surface pressures continue to fall, and convective (shower/thunderstorm) activity has been persistent. Based on the continued organization, it does appear likely 97L will become a tropical cyclone, either a depression or storm,…
The tropical wave mentioned in yesterday’s update has moved into the Bay of Campeche; it has also been tagged Invest 97L. Surface pressures have dropped overnight, and convective activity has increased, indicating an increase in organization. Further organization will be…