Satellite, radar, and surface data indicate that Cristobal made landfall at 5 PM CDT between Grand Isle, LA and the mouth of the Mississippi River. The National Hurricane Center has issued an update statement which can be found here. Heavy…
A USAF reconnaissance aircraft has found Cristobal a bit stronger this morning. The pressure is down to 992 mb and max sustained winds are up to 50 mph. Despite the increase in strength, Cristobal is disorganized. Most of the deep…
Cristobal weakened to a tropical depression this morning due to land interaction with Mexico, but this was expected. Forecast for Cristobal Cristobal will move back into the Gulf tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow night. Once back over the Gulf, restrengthening is…
Cristobal made landfall west of Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico this morning as a tropical storm with 60 mph winds. Forecast for Cristobal Over the next day or two Cristobal will likely remain over Mexico. This will cause weakening. An upper-level…
Tropical Depression Three has strengthened overnight. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 35 mph, and the pressure has dropped to 1003 mb. Convective (thunderstorm) activity has also increased. A USAF reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate later this morning. Given the…
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that Invest 93L has become a tropical depression – the third of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. As of the 5 PM EDT advisory, Tropical Depression Three (TD-3) had maximum sustained winds of 30…
Tropical development is now likely in Gulf of Mexico sometime this week. Model guidance has come into better agreement on the idea of tropical cyclone formation in the southwest Gulf/Bay of Campeche between tomorrow and Saturday. The operational ECMWF, UKMET,…
Tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico is looking like a possibility next week. There has been a consistent signal from model guidance for tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico between June 2 and 8. The catalyst could…
Invest 91L quickly became better organized overnight and is now producing winds up to tropical storm force based on buoy and radar data. The center has also become better defined. Based on this, the National Hurricane Center has upgraded Invest…
An area of disturbed weather located over/near the east coast of Florida is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. This area has been tagged Invest 91L by the National Hurricane Center and has a low chance (20 percent)…