Invest 99L has been upgraded to Tropical Depression Five. As of 10 AM CDT, Tropical Depression Five was located about 805 miles east-southeast of Barbados, tracking west at 12 mph, with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and a minimum…
Invest 98L, a weak area of low pressure and disorganized convective activity just east of the upper Florida Keys, has a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone this weekend or early next week. Invest 98L Invest 98L will move…
The Atlantic has quickly gone from being quiet to quite active overnight. This is evidenced by the fact that there are now two active systems to track: newly formed Tropical Storm Chantal and an area of disturbed weather in the…
A 2.8 magnitude earthquake shook Madison County, MS and adjacent areas Friday morning, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. The epicenter was about 6 miles northeast of Madison, MS. No damage was reported. WAPT reported that there were “reports of…
NOAA issued their updated forecast for the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. According to a press release issued this morning, forecasters have “increased the chances of above-normal activity” to 45 percent, up from 30 percent in the May outlook. The likelihood…
Development of Invest 96L is now looking less likely. Analysis Invest 96L is disorganized. This is evidenced by the lack of any deep convective activity — which can be attributed to a very dry, stable saharan air layer — and…
The tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic is now Invest 96L. Model guidance Model guidance is still in agreement on a tropical depression forming east of the Lesser Antilles by Sunday. Ensemble support also remains somewhat strong. However, as…
Tropical cyclone formation is becoming increasingly likely this weekend east of the Lesser Antilles. The “seed” is a tropical wave currently located to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Immediate development not expected A dry saharan air layer (SAL),…
Invest 95L is passing across the Greater Antilles this evening. All-in-all, development is now looking unlikely. Both wind shear and land interaction is inhibiting development, as expected. Model support has also decreased markedly. With that being said, Invest 95l can’t…
The tropical wave that passed through the Lesser Antilles yesterday is now Invest 95L. Analysis Due to a persistent ribbon of strong wind shear, Invest 95L is disorganized, with little in the way of convection or vorticity (spin). Immediate development…