The threat for severe weather this weekend has increased. Setup As we discussed in our previous update, a storm system is going to lift out of the Plains and into the Great Lakes Saturday. Through the day, a warm front…
For the past few weeks, a negative phase of the Pacific North American Pattern (PNA) has dominated the weather across North America. The result has been generally mild conditions in the East, and record cold out West. Below-Average Temperatures Likely…
The threat for flooding will continue across parts of the South through Sunday, with an additional of 1 – 4″ of rain forecast. However, the main concern this weekend will be the possibility of severe weather Saturday. Setup A potent…
A heavy rain/flood threat is going still in store for the South this week . There are also now two separate severe weather threats to watch this week. Heavy Rain/Flood Threat Before we get to the severe weather potential, we…
A multi-day excessive rain event is likely to unfold across parts of the South this upcoming week. Additionally, there is also some potential for severe storms. Setup To simplify things, an active storm track and stalled front will work to…
Heavy rain is likely across portions of the South next week. We briefly touched on the overall the setup for next week in this update from Wednesday. A ridge anchored over the Southeast; deepening trough pivoting into the Rockies; active…
El Niño has officially been declared by the Climate Prediction Center. According to the ENSO Diagnostics discussion for February, borderline, weak El Niño conditions are present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Weak El Niño conditions are favored to continue through spring.…
A trough is predicted to pivot into the Rockies early next week. Meanwhile, the ridge that has been in place across the Southeast is expected to strengthen. This should allow for a more amplified of the subtropical jet stream. It…
A weak spin-up tornado occurred in Leake County, MS this morning along the Natchez Trace. The tornado tracked a little over 4 miles. According to the preliminary damage survey, it was and EF- with peak winds estimated to be 90…
A broken band of rain with some embedded thunderstorms is still expected to form tonight in association with a cold front. However, there is no longer a threat for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has removed he marginal risk…