Models Still Hinting at Potential Gulf Development in 6 – 8 Days

Some of the model guidance continues to pick up on potential tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico between June 18th and 21st.  Models: The GFS, ECMWF, CMC, and NAVGEM models are all forecasting an area of low pressure to form in the Western…

Models Still Hinting at Possible Gulf Development Next Week

Some of the model guidance continues to pick up on potential tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico between June 18th and 21st.  Models: The GFS, ECMWF, CMC, and NAVGEM models are all forecasting an area of low pressure to form in the Western…

Ridge to Bring Excessive Heat Wednesday Through Sunday

A strong ridge of high pressure is expected to build across parts of the Southwest and South-Central U.S. this by mid-week and remain in place through at least this weekend. The ridge will cause excessive and dangerous heat across parts of the…

Strong to Severe Storms Possible Today

A weak upper-level low will move East across the Central Gulf Coast today. As the upper-low moves across the region it should cause scattered strong to marginally severe storms to develop across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi,  Alabama, and parts of the…

El Niño is Officially Over

The strong 2015 El Niño is officially over. El Niño dissipated and ENSO-neutral conditions returned during over the past month, as indicated by the expansion of near-to-below average surface temperatures (SST) across the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.   In addition…

Tropical Storm Colin Nearing Landfall

Tropical storm Colin is nearing landfall this and is currently located just off shore of the coastline of the Big Bend  region of Florida. Tropical storm Colin is currently located  at 29.8°N 83.8°W. Colin is currently moving northeast at 22mph and…

Tropical Storm Colin Strengthens Overnight; Landfall Expected Tonight

Tropical storm Colin strengthened slightly overnight as it was forecast. Tropical storm Colin is currently located in the Central Gulf of Mexico at 26.4°N 87.3°W. Colin currently is currently moving north northeast at 14mph and has maximum sustained winds of 50mph…